Today's picks:
Minnesota -133 ML --- 1.5 units Perkins vs Washburn
Perkins looked amazing all spring and should continue to throw well in his opening start. Like my other picks for Minnesota, I love their home field advantage. Washburn has traditionally thrown well against the Twins and at the Metrodome but I see Minnesota coming out on top here.
St. Louis +100 RL -1.5R --- 2 units Carpenter vs. Ohlendorf
Carpenter is a complete ace when healthy and he looked healthy all spring. Ohlendorf had a great spring until his last outing. With the Cardinals getting beat in their first two games, I expect them to come out strong against a starter who was hit hard everywhere he went in 2008.
Tampa Bay/Boston 8.5 Under --- 2 units Garza vs. Matsuzaka
Both Garza and Matsuzaka are solid pitchers who looked good in spring training. The under has played well between the two teams and I expect it to continue today.
Baltimore ML +167 --- 1.5 units
Simon vs. Burnett
I don't have a huge amount of faith in this pick but after seeing the Orioles the last two days, they're playing better than expected. Simon is a rookie pitcher who has struggled in the minors. He could come out and throw a great game as he is unknown to Yankee hitters. WIth the chance that he throws decent, I like the +167 line here on a team that has out played New York in the series.
I think I may start posting 1 parlay a day as well for 1 unit to see my record/units at year end:
MIN ML, BOS ML, NYY ML, STL RL, LAD ML, MIL ML1 unit to win 28.52 units
Overall:
14-9, 60.87%, +8.22 units
0-2 on parlays, -2 units
I went 4-4 yesterday for +.86 units...not a good day but I'll never complain about a positive unit day. I had a couple of tough breaks in the Minnesota game with them winning by 1 when I had the run line. I fully expected Slowey to come out strong and dominate the Mariners with a mix of Carlos Silva being dominated. Tough break in the game but I'll still be behind Slowey early this season. Hopefully his mediocre game softens the line in his next game. The Angels game was ugly with Fuentes blowing the save. I expect him to be solid this season but with them giving up 6 runs in the last two innings, the loss is hard to take. Gallardo had a great outind as I expected with a rough start from Randy Johnson. The Brewers pulled out the win, and I'll give them a strong look today with Manny Parra taking on Matt Cain. With three dog wins yesterday, I ended up ahead and hope I keep the streak alive today.
Yesterday's ending results
FLA -1.5 RL +135 --- 2 units - WIN
TOR ML -132 --- 2 units - LOSS
TB ML +129 --- 1.5 units - WIN
BAL ML +151 --- 1.5 units - WIN
CLE ML -119 --- 2 units - LOSS
MIN -1.5 RL +125 --- 2 units - LOSS (1 run game...)
LAA ML -103 --- 1 unit - LOSS
MIL ML -116 --- 1 unit - WIN
4-4, 50%, +.86 for the day
Picks to come...
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